Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.196642 0.228100 0.262992 0.304568 0.352777 0.406938 0.472440
2025-06-01 0.149086 0.191612 0.243802 0.312606 0.401021 0.510964 0.658314
2025-06-08 0.121510 0.167543 0.228096 0.313666 0.431681 0.589053 0.815468
2025-06-15 0.104362 0.152384 0.219228 0.319200 0.465278 0.671523 0.985997
2025-06-22 0.088210 0.135328 0.204195 0.312368 0.478525 0.725011 1.120244
2025-06-29 0.076669 0.122937 0.193579 0.309517 0.495752 0.784536 1.268984
2025-07-06 0.068424 0.114235 0.187023 0.311372 0.519461 0.855483 1.442987
2025-07-13 0.064152 0.111196 0.188764 0.326317 0.565439 0.966428 1.695087
2025-07-20 0.059708 0.107180 0.188209 0.337002 0.605041 1.070678 1.947926
2025-07-27 0.055712 0.103361 0.187385 0.346840 0.643900 1.177439 2.217495
2025-08-03 0.051205 0.098008 0.183123 0.349753 0.670214 1.264231 2.460230
2025-08-10 0.046336 0.091354 0.175650 0.345633 0.682575 1.326164 2.662456
2025-08-17 0.041097 0.083453 0.165111 0.334708 0.681183 1.363112 2.823223
2025-08-24 0.038660 0.080819 0.164467 0.343321 0.719745 1.482832 3.167060
2025-08-31 0.035711 0.076757 0.160462 0.344492 0.742994 1.574013 3.462288
2025-09-07 0.033552 0.074074 0.158931 0.350575 0.777134 1.691309 3.827760
2025-09-14 0.030415 0.068895 0.151543 0.343065 0.780736 1.743618 4.055402
2025-09-21 0.027981 0.064978 0.146422 0.339933 0.793617 1.817465 4.340948
2025-09-28 0.026184 0.062298 0.143726 0.341971 0.818501 1.920931 4.708528
2025-10-05 0.025557 0.062273 0.147033 0.358397 0.879095 2.113508 5.314517
2025-10-12 0.024634 0.061428 0.148331 0.370141 0.929758 2.288285 5.898486
2025-10-19 0.023705 0.060456 0.149214 0.380954 0.979371 2.466090 6.512508
2025-10-26 0.022395 0.058376 0.147169 0.384157 1.010084 2.600464 7.030652